Service Plays Sunday 7/4/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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****Please note we can post ONLY Picks for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!​

 

[ugk]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Sunday’s Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers Staff


Streaking

Brandon Morrow (5-6, 4.50 ERA), Toronto Blue Jays

The former Mariners castaway has found his big-league groove. Morrow, who’s always had great stuff but poor control, has walked just 12 batters in his last six starts compared to 35 strikeouts.

The hard-throwing righty credits Jose Molina for his turnaround. Molina, the Jays’ backup catcher, became Morrow’s regular partner about a month ago and the difference has been dramatic.

The Jays were only 2-3 in his five starts last month but the under cashed in five of those contests, thanks largely to Morrow’s 1.91 ERA in June.

Cliff Lee (7-3, 2.45 ERA), Seattle Mariners

It seems like Lee’s days are numbered in Seattle, so Mariners backers shouldn’t miss the opportunity to bet their team any time this southpaw takes the mound.

The former AL Cy Young winner has pitched three straight complete games and the last-place M’s are 8-2 in his last 10 starts.

"[Lee] never beats himself,” Yankees manager Joe Girardi told reporters after Lee bested the Bronx Bombers. “He never walks people. He has the ability to strike you out, and he locates extremely well.

“He knows how to change speeds extremely well. He's got a little sink to it, he's got a little cut to it, he's got a curveball, a slider and a changeup. He just knows how to pitch, and his command is very, very good."

Slumping

Mike Leake (5-1, 3.30 ERA), Cincinnati Reds

The magical rookie season for Leake is getting a dose of reality. The 23-year-old righty, who still hasn’t pitched an inning in the minor leagues, produced 10 quality starts in his first 11 outings for the Reds.

Over the last four appearances, however, he’s been tagged for 17 runs in just 22.1 innings.

Nick Blackburn (7-5, 6.02 ERA), Minnesota Twins

The Twins don’t have a stud in their rotation but they definitely have a real dud. Blackburn, who had been a serviceable starter for Minny over the last two seasons, went 1-4 with a 10.17 ERA in the month of June.

"It's the same thing that's been happening to me, just letting some balls up and they hit them," Blackburn told the Associated Press after he got pulled in the fourth inning against the Brewers two starts ago.

"It's getting pretty old, going out there and putting out efforts like that and not giving us even remotely a chance to win. It's pretty frustrating."

 

[ugk]

HOT LINES

Sunday's Best MLB Bets

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers (+105, 7)

If Detroit could play every game at Comerica Park, it would be the best team on the Junior Circuit.

The Tigers returned home Friday from a nine-game road trip, where they went 3-6, and promptly got back to winning ways. Jim Leyland’s ballclub owns the best AL home winning percentage with a 26-11 record. The team is just 19-19 on the road.

"I can't put a finger on it," said pitcher Max Scherzer, who earned a 7-1 win over Seattle on Friday. "We are just playing really well at Comerica. Maybe it's the fans. I believe it is. They come out and support so well. We always seem to play well at home."

Detroit has won 11 of its last 12 home games and runline backers have made a pretty penny with only two of those wins coming by a margin of one run.

"We have a chance to come home and play our style of baseball. We are going to play hard here,” said rookie Brennan Boesch. “We like playing in front of the fans here. We are going to come out here and play our best baseball."
Cliff Lee is on the bump for the M’s in this matchup but the lefty holds a 5-9 career record against Detroit with a 4.76 ERA. As long as La Tigres continue to roll in the confines of their home zoo, bettors should continue to play them.

Pick: Detroit Tigers


Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins (+100, 9.5)

Most hitters would be completely satisfied with a .300 average and 34 RBIs through three months of the season. But when you're the reigning American League MVP and coming off a 28-homer, .365 campaign a year ago, expectations become lofty.

"I really haven't felt good," said Twins catcher Joe Mauer. "Everybody wants to compare to what happened last year and stuff like that. Obviously, I think I'm my worst critic and harder on myself than anybody can be out there.”

So what’s wrong with Mauer? Manager Ron Gardenhire says “nothing” but hitting coach Joe Vavra thinks it might be taking Mauer more time than expected to become acclimated to his new surroundings.

"He's still getting used to the ballpark," Vavra said. "The Metrodome was very comfortable for him. He trusted the backdrop and all that stuff. He needs to learn to trust the new ballpark and what he can do with it."

Home runs and scoring are down at the Twins’ new Target Field. The team has an over/under record of 17-22-2 at home and balls don’t jump around the field on grass like they did on turf at the old dome.

Eight of Minnesota’s last 11 games have played under the total. This number is a nice one to get at Target Field where totals rarely exceed 9. Look for another low-scoring affair between these clubs Sunday.

Pick: Under

 

[ugk]

SOCCER NEWS AND NOTES
World Cup Futures: Spain Favored After Brazil Ousted
By Covers Staff


The World Cup is down to the final four and will resume play Tuesday, July 6.

The Netherlands will meet Uruguay in the first semifinal match Tuesday while Spain and Germany will square off Wednesday.

Below are adjusted futures odds for the 2010 FIFA World Cup champion:

* Spain +185
* Germany +200
* Netherlands +200
* Uruguay +1200

Below are adjusted futures odds for the World Cup top goalscorer:

* David Villa (Spain) -225
* Miroslav Klose (Germany) +400
* Diego Forlan (Uruguay) +1400
* Lukas Podolski (Germany) +2500
* Luis Suarez (Uruguay) +6600
* Mesut Oezil (Germany) +12500
* Robin Van Persie (Netherlands) +10000
* Fernando Torres (Spain) +15000

 

[ugk]

WIMBLEDON ODDS

Men’s Final Preview And Pick

Covers’ tennis analyst Ricky Dimon looks to close out a successful Wimbledon run (25-15) with his men's final selection below:

(2) RAFAEL NADAL (-4.5 GAMES) VS. (12) TOMAS BERDYCH (+4.5 GAMES)

It’s not Rafael Nadal vs. Roger Federer, but this Wimbledon final could be the next best thing: Nadal vs. the man who beat Federer—Tomas Berdych.

Also promising—at least for those who hope to see a scorcher of a title match—is that Nadal and Berdych are both in ridiculous form. Berdych had a few scares during Week 1, but he made surprisingly light work of Federer in the quarterfinals and erased Novak Djokovic in straight sets on Friday.

Don’t think for a second that this is any kind of fluke for the 24-year-old Czech. A completely new player in 2010, Berdych also upset Federer in Miami and reached the French Open semis (was one set away from the final).

Unfortunately for Berdych, he doesn’t appear to be catching Nadal at the right time. Like his opponent, Nadal faced some serious adversity during the first week of the tournament. He twice came back from two sets to one down and also battled through apparent knee trouble against Philipp Petzschner. But after dismissing an in-form Robin Soderling in the quarters, the Spaniard disposed of Andy Murray in a straight-set semi.

Also of great concern to Berdych and his backers is his head-to-head series with Nadal. It’s 7-3 in Nadal’s favor, and if that sounds familiar, well, Nadal also led Murray 7-3 prior their semifinal match. Berdych actually led 3-1 at one point (late in 2006), but Nadal has won six in a row and has won on all three surfaces in that span (including a straight-setter in the 2007 Wimbledon quarters). The world No. 1 is an overwhelming 14-0 in sets against Berdych in their last six matches.

As such, taking action on Nadal to win 3-0 at +175 is a solid value play, and under 38.5 games is also a decent option. However, as stated before, this is a new Berdych—even a new Berdych since these two last faced each other this spring in Indian Wells. The world No. 13 is playing great and has the aggressive power game (unlike Murray’s counter-punching tactics) that generally gives Nadal the most trouble.

The safest play is Nadal -4.5 games. He has won seven Grand Slam titles (including Wimbledon in 2008), while Berdych has never even been to a final. Berdych should handle the occasion better than Vera Zvonareva handled it against Serena Williams, but all signs point to another Nadal triumph.

Pick: Nadal -4.5 games

 

[ugk]

COKE ZERO 400

NASCAR Preview And Picks

While the rest of America celebrates the birth of a Nation, the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series celebrates the halfway point of their season at the place the 2010 season started, Daytona International Speedway site of Saturday nights Coke Zero 400.

Best bets

Tony Stewart (+1000)

After a second place finish last week in New Hampshire, Stewart heads to Daytona with momentum on his side. Summer time is usually when Stewart seems to shine and coming into Daytona as the defending champion of this race giving him three wins overall, along with seven top five and 12 top 10s here, Stewart will be the favorite Saturday. Stewart wrecked his car in practice Thursday and will be in a backup, but Stewart has won several times before in similar situations.

Jeff Gordon (+1500)

Gordon leads all active drivers at Daytona with six wins. He also has 11 top fives, 17 top 10s and three poles. Gordon has been near the front all year and with while he has yet to win this season, at Daytona he is almost always a threat and should be Saturday.

Jimmie Johnson (+1200)

As he showed last week, Johnson is a threat to win anywhere, anytime. At Daytona Johnson has one win, six top fives, nine top 10s and two poles. Barring disaster, expect Johnson to be among the top contenders Saturday night.

Others To Watch

Denny Hamlin (+1500)

Hamlin has shown to be one of the biggest threats to win it all this season. And while he may not have great stats at Daytona, remember that in his first race here in 2006 finished much higher than anyone was expecting.

Kevin Harvick (+1000)

Harvick heads to Daytona as the points leader, the same spot he’s held for the last 12 weeks. Harvick has been putting down strong, consistent runs to keep the points lead but made it clear last week that he needs to win. With a record of one win, six top fives, nine top 10s and two poles and a hunger to win, Harvick may just throw caution to the wind and go for it all this week.

Kyle Busch (+1000)

Busch arrived at Daytona on a mission. Last year he was leading the race on the final lap when contact sent him into the wall. This year Busch wants to avenge that loss. With one win, four top fives and four top 10s, he may just have a chance to win this weekend if he can tame the overaggressive that has hurt in the past.

Head To Head

Greg Biffle vs. Carl Edwards

A battle of teammates in this matchup. Greg Biffle has one win, two top fives and four top 10 along with a pole. Edwards has never won here but has three top fives and four top 10 finishes. Edwards has been showing a bit better form in the last few weeks and although neither driver seems to be in winning form, look for Edwards to come out on top.

Mark Martin vs. Kurt Busch

Martin has two poles, nine top five and 17 top 10s, while Busch has nine top five and 10 top 10s. Martin has never been a fan of racing at Daytona and Talladega, but most often survives to finish. He won twice at Talladega, a feat he himself admits confuses him. Busch has a nearly identical record but his tendency to put himself in the wrong place at the wrong time leading to poor finishes may come back to haunt him. Look for Martin to win out over Busch.

Ryan Newman vs. Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Newman has one win, two top fives and three top 10s here, while Dale Earnhardt Jr. has two wins, seven top fives and 12 top 10s. Despite the fact that Earnhardt’s last win here was in the 2004 Daytona 500 he has shown somewhat of an upward turn of late and that upward turn could culminate in a decent finish Saturday, at least ahead of Newman.

 

[ugk]

BASEBALL CRUSHER
PLAY OF THE DAY

St Louis Cardinals (-150) over Milwaukee Brewers

 

[ugk]

SHUT EM DOWN SPORTS
20* Seattle Mariners -115 ML

 

[gsad]

Hondo

Here's a Tex. message for you: Hondo rolled with the Rangers last night to slash the number on the big red deficit toteboard to 735 gantners. ​

Today, it's a good day for a Brew and a 'dog, and Mr. Aitch gets both with Gallardo -- 10 units on Mil waukee to chug to victory at Busch Stadium.-$ ​

Even though Joey "Dog Breath" Chestnut is the heavy favorite in today's hot dog eating contest, don't disregard Humble Bob Shoudt, who's listed at 300-to-1. Humble Bob set a world record for eating chili spaghetti in 2008 when he downed 13.5 pounds of the stuff in 10 minutes. Shortly after that mile stone he set the record for synchronized belching and flatulence. It makes you wonder how he stays so humble.​

 

[gsad]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the A's Saturday night. Sunday it's the A's.


The deficit is 845 sirignanos​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HAPPY 4TH TO ALL, HAVE A SAFE DAY!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog Free Horse


BELMONT PARK Race #3 at 2:00 PM Eastern


Top pick: #2 (COMMON CURRENCY) - Colt is workng nicely for his first start since he debuted at Saratoga last August. Well-bet that day he was involved in a spirited pace-duel before tiring during the stretch run. Has a new trainer (Mike Hushion 29% with new arrivals) and his main rider Ramon Domingues is aloft. Trainer/jockey team is one of the tops in the business, clicking on 26 of 49 over the past 18 months. The top selection.

2nd pick: #5 (Rush to Riches) - Gelding had a poor break in his debut and after rushing-up into the pace, he predictably tired from his efforts. His trainer (Bruce Levine) is excellent second time out (31%) and lasix is added today (a 22% winning move). Look for an improved run this afternoon.

3rd pick: #3 (Zone Breaker) - Debuting son of "Value Plus" has some fine drills showing, but runs for a bran (Bruce Brown) that's 0-for its last 40 with first-time starters. May run a competitive race.

4th pick: #1 (Gold Ghost) - Finger Lakes shipper just missed when debuting June 21 and is brought back on 12 days rest for this attempt. Fine "Lakes" trainer (Mike Ferraro) adds lasix and John Velazquez is signed-on. Exotics factor.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

"Bulgarian Paid service"

Tromsö IL - Aalesunds FK :bet on Tromsö IL @ 1,70

Švedska 1. Division Norra,
Vasalunds IF - Carlstad United BK:bet on Vasalunds@1,65

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hentai Sports

Game : Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) 04:10pm EST

Prediction : Los Angeles Dodgers ML / Chad Billingsley must start.

Analysis : Haren goes for Diamondbacks but if you have not caught him this year he is nowhere near as good as last year. He has been doing the same thing all year 3-4 runs over 7 innings. On the other hand the Dodgers go to Billinglsy who is coming off his first start off the DL. He was a little rusty first time back but expect him to be much better today. Don’t be surprised if he goes 7 innings of 1 run baseball as his hamstring is back to normal.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Battagliaspicks - FREE ACTION


BELMONT
8th (4:44)

Brian's Pick's 4-2-7

Song for Pupcake has a solid closing kick and there should be speed to run at in this seven furlong turf event. Maragh has been riding well.




Churchill
10th (5:26)
Firecracker H. (G2)



Battagliaspicks 4-9-2

#4 Tizdejavu- loves this course winning 4 of 5 here and is the speed of the speed today. He is the best bet of the day.

#2 Mine that Bird- has zero grass breeding and it appears Lukas has forgotten how to train a horse winning only 3 races from 55 starters.





Monmouth
7th (3:50)

Battagliaspicks 2-7-12

#2 Sky Pie- comes off a maiden win then 3 straight good runs against open company. She finds an easier spot today and will be tough at a decent price.

 

[DukeSnider]

Wilhem...please direct me and others as to where we can locate the "additional service player forum". Also, does Bostonfan still have a running summary of tout records ? Sorry if this is clutter.

Thanks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL MLB

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs

The Reds look to build on their 5-0 record in their last 5 games as an underdog. Cincinnati is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 4
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: NY Mets at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Takahashi) 14.805; Washington (Stammen) 14.282
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Over

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.361; Pittsburgh (Karstens) 13.895
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Over

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 15.639; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.464
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+140); Over

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 15.230; Cubs (Lilly) 14.408
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105); N/A

Game 909-910: San Francisco at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.575; Colorado (Hammel) 13.905
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+100); Over

Game 911-912: Houston at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Myers) 16.743; San Diego (LeBlanc) 15.747
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Under

Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 16.418; Arizona (Haren) 14.705
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-105); Over

Game 915-916: Florida at Atlanta (5:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.396; Atlanta (Hudson) 15.105
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-175); Under

Game 917-918: Seattle at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Lee) 15.794; Detroit (Bonderman) 14.954
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Over

Game 919-920: Oakland at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.159; Cleveland (Carmona) 14.847
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Over

Game 921-922: Toronto at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Morrow) 13.584; NY Yankees (Hughes) 15.168
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-210); Under

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 13.561; Boston (Lackey) 15.852
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-210); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-210); Under

Game 925-926: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.907; Minnesota (Blackburn) 16.462
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105); Under

Game 927-928: Chicago White Sox at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 15.870; Texas (Feldman) 16.340
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-150); Over

Game 929-930: Kansas City at LA Angels (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Lerew) 16.274; LA Angels (Pineiro) 15.784
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+160); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL CFL

BC at Edmonton

The Eskimos look to take advantage of a BC team that is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games in July. Edmonton is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Eskimos favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-4). Here are all of today's CFL picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 4
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (7/3)
Game 407-408: BC at Edmonton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 106.500; Edmonton 114.130
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 7 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-4); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Nationals
Twins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 4th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[903] Philadelphia |-130|B+0|Network N/A|1:35 pm EST

[910] SF/Col |UNDER|8 Runs|Network N/A|3:10 pm EST